Lafnitz II vs TUS Bad Waltersdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
11.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+181%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
10º
16º
14º
38
2º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
98.5% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 42 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
38 | 41 |
11º
|
52.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
60% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
82% | |
|
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
90% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
10% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
90% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lafnitz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2025 |
HGK
3 - 6
LAF
32%
22%
45%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
UGA
1 - 5
LAF
56%
20%
24%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
LAF
2 - 0
KOF
48%
21%
30%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
FEH
2 - 2
LAF
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
LAF
2 - 0
LEB
35%
22%
43%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
TUS Bad Waltersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
TUS
2 - 0
KIN
42%
22%
37%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
FCS
4 - 0
TUS
61%
19%
20%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
TUS
4 - 1
ALL
12%
16%
72%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +6 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
ILZ
3 - 0
TUS
84%
11%
6%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
TUS
1 - 5
KAL
13%
17%
70%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | -1 |