Lafnitz II vs Lebring analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
42.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
10º
16º
14º
42
3º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
98.5% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 42 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
57.5% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 41 |
11º
|
52.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
60% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
82% | |
|
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
90% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
10% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
90% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lafnitz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
TSH
1 - 0
LAF
55%
20%
26%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
LAF
4 - 2
KIN
76%
14%
11%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
LAF
0 - 2
FCS
55%
20%
25%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
LAF
1 - 1
ALL
33%
22%
45%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
LAF
1 - 3
GDF
25%
22%
53%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lebring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
LEB
5 - 0
KIN
82%
11%
7%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
FCS
1 - 1
LEB
37%
22%
41%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
LEB
2 - 2
ALL
41%
22%
38%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
ILZ
1 - 3
LEB
68%
18%
14%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
LEB
0 - 0
KAL
29%
22%
49%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +1 |