La Fama vs Dakota analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
40.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+83%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
7º
10º
7º
16
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 15 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 14 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 3
FAM
33%
23%
45%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FAM
1 - 0
NAC
32%
22%
46%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 0
FAM
63%
19%
19%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FAM
0 - 1
EST
56%
20%
23%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
UFC
0 - 1
FAM
18%
19%
64%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Dakota
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
DAK
2 - 3
EST
69%
17%
14%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ASF
0 - 3
DAK
43%
21%
36%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
DAK
1 - 2
RCA
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 8
DAK
27%
21%
53%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
DAK
1 - 4
BRI
63%
18%
19%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -3 |