La Fama vs Caravel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
6.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SVJ
0 - 8
FAM
55%
20%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 3
FAM
65%
18%
17%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
FAM
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
FAM
4 - 0
SVU
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
RIV
1 - 0
FAM
49%
21%
30%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
ASF
6 - 2
CAR
73%
15%
13%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
NAC
9 - 0
CAR
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
BUB
15%
18%
68%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 4
SVC
25%
21%
54%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
UFC
6 - 2
CAR
61%
18%
21%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -2 |