La Fama vs Caravel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
22.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Fama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
BUB
2 - 2
FAM
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
FAM
3 - 2
UFC
88%
8%
4%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
FAM
1 - 3
DAK
46%
22%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
DAK
0 - 0
FAM
55%
21%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2021 |
FAM
0 - 0
BUB
54%
21%
26%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 4
RCA
42%
23%
36%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
RIV
2 - 3
CAR
43%
22%
35%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 3
EST
42%
22%
36%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
BUB
2 - 3
CAR
57%
20%
23%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
RCA
38%
23%
39%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |