Horn vs First Vienna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
SVH
2 - 1
AMS
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 0
SVH
31%
24%
45%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
SVH
3 - 0
LEI
77%
15%
9%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
SVH
1 - 3
SVH
11%
17%
72%
|
55 | 20 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
SVH
5 - 1
ZWE
85%
11%
4%
|
55 | 19 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
First Vienna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
VIE
2 - 2
LEI
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
STP
1 - 1
VIE
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
VIE
0 - 0
AMS
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
VIE
3 - 1
STA
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
AUS
2 - 0
VIE
51%
24%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |