Horn vs SKN St. Polten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
5º
4º
56
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
SVH
2 - 3
RIE
16%
21%
63%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
RAP
0 - 1
SVH
33%
24%
43%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SVH
2 - 1
AWM
17%
22%
61%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
VOR
1 - 3
SVH
45%
24%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
SVH
0 - 3
VIE
48%
24%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
SKN St. Polten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
SKN
0 - 0
GRA
38%
25%
37%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
VOR
0 - 1
SKN
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
SKN
2 - 3
AMS
38%
26%
37%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
FCB
0 - 1
SKN
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FCL
1 - 2
SKN
60%
22%
19%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |