Horn vs Ritzing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2015 |
SVH
5 - 1
WAI
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 19 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2015 |
QAR
3 - 4
SVH
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
WIN
3 - 0
SVH
53%
25%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
SVH
0 - 2
FCL
20%
23%
58%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
SCA
0 - 0
SVH
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ritzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2015 |
RIT
0 - 1
NEU
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
STP
1 - 1
RIT
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2015 |
SVS
2 - 3
RIT
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
RIT
1 - 1
AUS
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
WIE
0 - 1
RIT
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |