Horn vs Grödig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
51%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
KAP
2 - 1
SVH
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
SVH
0 - 3
KAP
26%
24%
50%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
ALT
2 - 0
SVH
75%
17%
8%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
LUS
1 - 1
SVH
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
SVH
2 - 3
VIE
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Grödig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
GRO
3 - 1
ALT
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
LUS
0 - 5
GRO
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
FCB
0 - 3
GRO
27%
26%
47%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
GRO
0 - 1
KAP
49%
24%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
SKN
1 - 2
GRO
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |