Freistadt vs St. Martin im Muhlreis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
59.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Freistadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
NEU
1 - 1
SVF
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
SVF
1 - 3
UNI
34%
24%
43%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SIE
3 - 0
SVF
36%
24%
40%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
SVF
5 - 0
BAD
43%
24%
34%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
EFE
1 - 0
SVF
44%
23%
33%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
St. Martin im Muhlreis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
STM
3 - 1
DON
63%
20%
18%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
WEL
3 - 1
STM
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
STM
5 - 2
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BAD
0 - 3
STM
25%
23%
52%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
STM
1 - 1
GRI
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |