Estrella Papilon vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
EST
0 - 1
RCA
49%
21%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
DAK
0 - 1
EST
70%
17%
13%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
EST
1 - 3
BUB
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +3 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
BRI
4 - 1
EST
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
EST
3 - 0
FAM
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 4
RIV
51%
20%
29%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
RIV
4 - 0
SNI
67%
17%
16%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
RCA
3 - 1
RIV
57%
19%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
RIV
3 - 3
DAK
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
BUB
5 - 0
RIV
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |