Estrella Papilon vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-62%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
RCA
2 - 2
EST
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
SVE
0 - 2
EST
37%
24%
39%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 0
EST
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
FAM
1 - 1
EST
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 4
EST
21%
22%
56%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
RIV
2 - 1
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
DAK
1 - 0
RIV
52%
23%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
RCA
3 - 0
RIV
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
BRI
1 - 1
RIV
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
RIV
1 - 0
FAM
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |