Estrella Papilon vs La Fama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
24.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
BUB
0 - 2
EST
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
EST
3 - 0
NAC
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
EST
2 - 2
BRI
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
RCA
1 - 4
EST
58%
19%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
EST
5 - 1
JTL
78%
13%
9%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
La Fama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
FAM
0 - 7
RCA
52%
20%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
FAM
1 - 1
SVC
71%
16%
14%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
DAK
1 - 0
FAM
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
FAM
1 - 3
RIV
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
BRI
1 - 1
FAM
57%
21%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |