Estrella Papilon vs La Fama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
28.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
RCA
3 - 1
EST
54%
22%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
RIV
3 - 0
EST
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 3
EST
52%
20%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SNI
1 - 4
EST
33%
22%
45%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
EST
0 - 2
RIV
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
La Fama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
FAM
1 - 3
RIV
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
BUB
3 - 2
FAM
48%
24%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
SNI
2 - 1
FAM
31%
21%
48%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
FAM
1 - 4
RCA
49%
21%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
DAK
3 - 0
FAM
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |