Estrella Papilon vs La Fama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
RCA
1 - 2
EST
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
SVC
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BRI
3 - 1
EST
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
EST
6 - 0
CAR
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
DAK
2 - 2
EST
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
La Fama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 2
FAM
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
FAM
2 - 0
BUB
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 2
FAM
48%
22%
31%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
FAM
2 - 4
DAK
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
RCA
5 - 1
FAM
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |