Estrella Papilon vs Caravel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
29.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-63%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
EST
0 - 2
NAC
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
EST
0 - 3
RIV
50%
23%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
EST
2 - 3
FAM
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
EST
2 - 3
RIV
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
EST
2 - 4
CAR
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2011 |
RCA
5 - 1
CAR
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
RIV
1 - 1
CAR
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
BRI
2 - 1
CAR
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 1
FAM
56%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
EST
2 - 4
CAR
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |