Estrella Papilon vs Caravel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-67%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
EST
0 - 4
BUB
50%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
FAM
0 - 1
EST
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
SVS
0 - 1
EST
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
RCA
3 - 0
EST
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
EST
3 - 2
JTL
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
RIV
0 - 1
CAR
51%
23%
26%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
JTL
3 - 5
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 1
CAR
66%
20%
15%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 4
BRI
34%
23%
43%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 3
RCA
36%
23%
41%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |