SV Erlbach vs Kottern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
24.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Erlbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
TUR
0 - 3
ERL
18%
28%
54%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
ERL
0 - 0
DEI
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2025 |
TAM
0 - 1
ERL
36%
29%
36%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2025 |
HAH
1 - 1
ERL
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
ERL
0 - 1
HAH
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Kottern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
KOT
0 - 2
TUS
84%
11%
5%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
TUR
0 - 1
KOT
20%
23%
57%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
KOT
1 - 4
186
44%
24%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
KOT
0 - 6
HOM
16%
20%
65%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
FCP
0 - 2
KOT
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |