SV Erlbach vs Kottern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
7º
4º
54
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
20 | 20 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Erlbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
ERL
2 - 0
LAN
45%
25%
29%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
186
0 - 0
ERL
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
ERL
0 - 0
ISM
60%
23%
18%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
HEI
1 - 1
ERL
62%
21%
18%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ERL
3 - 1
TSV
70%
19%
11%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Kottern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
KOT
0 - 3
186
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ISM
0 - 0
KOT
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
KOT
4 - 3
HEI
30%
25%
46%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
TSV
0 - 2
KOT
25%
22%
53%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
KOT
2 - 1
RAI
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |