SV Erlbach vs ESV Freilassing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Erlbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
TVV
1 - 2
ERL
16%
21%
64%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ASD
1 - 1
ERL
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ERL
2 - 2
TAM
35%
23%
42%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
VFB
1 - 1
ERL
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
ERL
0 - 0
TSK
37%
23%
41%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
ESV Freilassing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ESF
2 - 3
DJK
19%
20%
61%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
HOL
1 - 1
ESF
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
FCT
1 - 4
ESF
72%
17%
12%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ESF
1 - 3
FRE
19%
21%
61%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
TSE
4 - 1
ESF
62%
19%
19%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |