SV Erlbach vs Bogen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+150%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Erlbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 1
ERL
57%
22%
21%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
ERL
0 - 1
FCM
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
VFB
2 - 2
ERL
46%
25%
29%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
ERL
1 - 0
DEI
25%
24%
50%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
TPF
1 - 4
ERL
40%
24%
36%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
BOG
1 - 1
EKA
63%
19%
18%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
WAS
3 - 1
BOG
65%
18%
17%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
BOG
3 - 1
DEI
32%
25%
43%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
BOG
1 - 0
FCT
68%
19%
13%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
FRE
5 - 2
BOG
63%
21%
16%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |