Deutz vs SSV Merten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
31.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+368%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deutz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
FBH
2 - 3
SVD
14%
17%
69%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SVD
3 - 0
FVE
22%
21%
58%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SVD
2 - 0
SVS
51%
20%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SNS
1 - 1
SVD
25%
20%
55%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SVD
7 - 1
SVA
65%
17%
18%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
SSV Merten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MER
3 - 1
SVA
77%
13%
10%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
TOP
2 - 0
MER
36%
22%
42%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MER
4 - 0
FVW
61%
20%
20%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
RHE
0 - 2
MER
60%
19%
22%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
MER
3 - 0
WAC
73%
15%
12%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |