Caiquetio vs Estrella Papilon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.6%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
85%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19%
0-4
9.3%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
13.1%
0-5
5.6%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.5%
0-6
2.8%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.6%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caiquetio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
JTL
1 - 4
SVC
22%
20%
59%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2018 |
SVC
0 - 2
BRI
45%
21%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SVC
0 - 1
DAK
48%
21%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2018 |
RIV
3 - 5
SVC
95%
4%
1%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | +20 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SVC
1 - 3
FAM
43%
21%
36%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -18 |
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
EST
7 - 1
RIV
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
FAM
1 - 1
EST
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
EST
2 - 1
BUB
47%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 1
EST
51%
22%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -14 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
BRI
2 - 2
EST
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +14 |