Aruba League Relegation Round 1

Caiquetio vs CDRA analysis

Caiquetio CDRA
18 ELO 10
7.5% Tilt -4.2%
13395º General ELO ranking 48281º
14º Country ELO ranking 31º
ELO win probability
87.9%
Caiquetio
8.3%
Draw
3.8%
CDRA

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.8%
Win probability
Caiquetio
3.4
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.3%
3.8%
Win probability
CDRA
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Caiquetio
-41%
-54%
CDRA

Points and table prediction

Caiquetio
Their league position
CDRA
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
8
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
La Fama
27
27
100%
Bubali
25
25
100%
SV Atlético Santa Fé
22
22
100%
Caiquetio
22
22
100%
SC United
18
18
0%
SV Sporting
18
18
0%
Racing Savaneta
9
9
100%
CDRA
8
8
0%
Brazil Juniors
8
8
0%
Unistars
10º
7
7
10º
100%
Caravel
11º
5
5
11º
100%
SV Estudiantes
12º
4
4
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Caiquetio
CDRA
100% 100%

ELO progression

Caiquetio
CDRA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Caiquetio
Caiquetio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jan. 2023
NAC
Deportivo Nacional
1 - 0
Caiquetio
SVC
74%
15%
11%
18 28 10 0
10 Dec. 2022
RCS
Racing Savaneta
0 - 1
Caiquetio
SVC
10%
15%
75%
18 9 9 0
07 Jan. 2022
SVC
Caiquetio
1 - 3
Britannia
BRI
14%
16%
71%
19 31 12 -1
21 Mar. 2021
SVC
Caiquetio
0 - 8
Racing Club Aruba
RCA
12%
17%
72%
21 51 30 -2
14 Jan. 2020
DAK
Dakota
1 - 1
Caiquetio
SVC
80%
13%
7%
20 50 30 +1

Matches

CDRA
CDRA
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jan. 2022
UFC
SC United
1 - 1
CDRA
CDR
55%
20%
25%
10 11 1 0