Caiquetio vs Caravel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
21.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
2º
5º
4º
5
6º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 9 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 8 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 8 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
5 | 5 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 4 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caiquetio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
BUB
0 - 0
SVC
59%
19%
22%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
UFC
0 - 1
SVC
31%
21%
48%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
SVC
4 - 1
CDR
88%
8%
4%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 0
SVC
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
RCS
0 - 1
SVC
10%
15%
75%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 3
UFC
75%
14%
12%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 3
CDR
92%
6%
2%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 0
CAR
80%
12%
9%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SVR
3 - 2
CAR
8%
12%
80%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ASF
1 - 2
CAR
73%
15%
12%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |