Britannia vs Caravel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
23.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+92%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Britannia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
DAK
1 - 0
BRI
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
BRI
3 - 2
NAC
59%
19%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
BRI
2 - 1
DAK
54%
22%
24%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -3 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 1
BRI
42%
22%
36%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
BUB
0 - 1
BRI
33%
23%
44%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
RCA
4 - 1
CAR
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
DAK
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 1
CAR
50%
21%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 1
BRI
42%
22%
36%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2017 |
RCA
1 - 2
CAR
50%
20%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |