Bernbach vs Würges analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bernbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
FVB
1 - 3
SVB
36%
25%
40%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
SVB
2 - 2
FRA
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
SGH
2 - 3
SVB
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1996 |
SVB
3 - 0
LOH
57%
23%
20%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 1996 |
EIH
3 - 3
SVB
44%
25%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Würges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
WUR
1 - 2
VFB
42%
26%
33%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
SVR
1 - 2
WUR
32%
27%
41%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
FVB
1 - 5
WUR
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 1996 |
WUR
8 - 4
FRA
30%
26%
44%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +3 |
| 11 Aug. 1996 |
SGH
1 - 1
WUR
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |