Auersmacher vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
31.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-63%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auersmacher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
PIR
2 - 2
AUE
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
AUE
2 - 1
HBI
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
AUE
2 - 1
MAY
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
EIS
4 - 3
AUE
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
AUE
3 - 1
HAU
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2010 |
HAU
0 - 0
HOM
29%
25%
47%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
HOM
2 - 1
BET
65%
21%
14%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
HOM
1 - 2
PIR
55%
24%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
RWH
2 - 1
HOM
21%
23%
56%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
HBI
0 - 1
HOM
20%
23%
57%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |