SV 09 Arnstadt vs SC Freital analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
47.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
8º
16º
16º
40
7º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
92% | |
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
92% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
92.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 54 |
5º
|
92.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
96.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
63% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
66.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
35% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 32 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
32.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 22 |
15º
|
44% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV 09 Arnstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BUD
2 - 0
SVA
61%
19%
20%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BIS
3 - 1
SVA
76%
14%
10%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
SVA
1 - 5
FCA
35%
23%
42%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SVA
0 - 1
VFB
20%
18%
62%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SVA
2 - 1
UNI
29%
23%
48%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +3 |
Matches
SC Freital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SCF
2 - 3
BIS
24%
24%
52%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SCF
0 - 1
UNI
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
AUE
5 - 1
SCF
49%
21%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 1
VFL
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FSV
1 - 1
SCF
24%
21%
55%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |