Sutton United vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.4%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
78.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
16.5%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
GUI
2 - 1
SUT
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
SOL
3 - 0
SUT
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
BOR
5 - 0
SUT
20%
25%
55%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -3 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SUT
0 - 0
BOR
60%
23%
18%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SUT
1 - 0
LEE
14%
20%
67%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
BYM
5 - 1
ARS
69%
18%
13%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ARS
2 - 0
HUL
79%
15%
6%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CHL
3 - 1
ARS
48%
23%
29%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
ARS
1 - 2
WAT
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
SOU
0 - 5
ARS
27%
23%
50%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |