FA Trophy . 1/256
Global 6-3
Sutton Coldfield Town vs Newcastle Blue Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
25.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutton Coldfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
NBS
2 - 2
SUT
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
WOD
0 - 8
SUT
18%
22%
60%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
SUT
0 - 3
CHA
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
SUT
1 - 4
YEL
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
SUT
2 - 0
BAR
60%
20%
19%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Newcastle Blue Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
NBS
2 - 2
SUT
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2008 |
NBS
5 - 0
HAR
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
RAD
0 - 3
NBS
24%
24%
53%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
NBS
0 - 0
CHO
74%
16%
11%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
WAK
1 - 1
NBS
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |