Sutton Coldfield Town vs Boldmere St. Michaels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
53.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
6º
15º
12º
64
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
86 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
75 | 75 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
65 | 68 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
5º
|
66 | 67 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
64 | 67 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
|
8º
|
64 | 65 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
64 | 65 |
9º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
51 | 52 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
11º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
47 | 48 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
44 | 44 |
13º
|
71% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 42 |
14º
|
34% | |
|
15º
|
39 | 42 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
16º
|
38 | 41 |
16º
|
46.5% | |
|
17º
|
35 | 35 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
24 | 24 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
6 | 6 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutton Coldfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 1
SUT
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SUT
2 - 1
YAX
60%
21%
20%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ROM
2 - 0
SUT
45%
24%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SUT
2 - 3
RFC
19%
24%
57%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
SUT
0 - 2
ALV
19%
25%
56%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Boldmere St. Michaels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 1
BOL
40%
22%
38%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
BOL
1 - 1
SPO
55%
20%
24%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
LOU
0 - 1
BOL
28%
22%
51%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
BOL
1 - 0
WAL
46%
22%
32%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
ALV
2 - 0
BOL
63%
20%
18%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |