Sutjeska vs Decic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
6º
1º
50
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sutjeska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BUD
1 - 1
SUT
51%
24%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
SUT
2 - 1
IKD
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
MOR
3 - 2
SUT
25%
28%
47%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SUT
4 - 2
JEZ
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
SUT
0 - 0
SIL
58%
23%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Decic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DEC
1 - 0
RUD
61%
23%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
PET
2 - 1
DEC
34%
27%
38%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
BUD
1 - 0
DEC
57%
23%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
DEC
0 - 2
IKD
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DEC
0 - 1
CAR
23%
23%
54%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |