Sur vs C.D. Alcázar B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2007 |
SUR
3 - 0
FRA
82%
13%
6%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
PRI
6 - 0
SUR
68%
19%
13%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
SUR
0 - 3
EGA
25%
23%
51%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
APE
2 - 1
SUR
55%
23%
23%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
SUR
5 - 0
REC
29%
24%
47%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
C.D. Alcázar B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2007 |
BAE
2 - 0
CDA
80%
14%
6%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
CDA
1 - 3
CIU
27%
25%
48%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
GUA
6 - 1
CDA
72%
17%
11%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
CDA
1 - 3
MIR
17%
21%
63%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
ESP
0 - 0
CDA
75%
16%
9%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |