SK Super Nova vs FK Tukums 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
6º
9º
8º
24
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 84 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 79 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 61 |
3º
|
87.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 52 |
4º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 49 |
5º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 37 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
24 | 36 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 35 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 32 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
10º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
67.5% | 76% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
21.5% | 14% |
|
Relegation
|
11% | 10% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2025 |
SUP
0 - 1
AUD
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 1
FSM
54%
23%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 0
SUP
61%
22%
16%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 3
LIE
32%
25%
44%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
RIG
2 - 1
SUP
67%
20%
14%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
FSM
0 - 3
FKT
39%
24%
37%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
FKT
1 - 3
LIE
25%
24%
51%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
BFC
1 - 2
FKT
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
FKT
1 - 1
FKJ
45%
25%
31%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 4
AUD
26%
26%
48%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |