SK Super Nova vs FK Auda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
41.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
6º
9º
8º
37
2º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 84 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 79 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 61 |
3º
|
87.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 52 |
4º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 49 |
5º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 37 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 36 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 35 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 32 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
10º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
67.5% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
21.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
11% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 1
FSM
54%
23%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 0
SUP
61%
22%
16%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 3
LIE
32%
25%
44%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
RIG
2 - 1
SUP
67%
20%
14%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
SUP
4 - 1
BFC
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
AUD
1 - 3
CAR
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
RIG
1 - 0
AUD
49%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
GRO
1 - 2
AUD
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 4
AUD
26%
26%
48%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
AUD
4 - 1
FSM
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |