SK Super Nova vs FK Auda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
42.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
6º
9º
8º
31
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 77 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 74 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 59 |
3º
|
51.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 57 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 45 |
5º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 41 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 40 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 39 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 35 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 57.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
68.5% | 42% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
21.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
10% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK Super Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2025 |
FSM
0 - 2
SUP
49%
24%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 5
CAR
25%
24%
51%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
LIE
2 - 2
SUP
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 2
RIG
26%
24%
50%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2025 |
BFC
1 - 1
SUP
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2025 |
AUD
1 - 3
CAR
36%
27%
38%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
RIG
1 - 0
AUD
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
AUD
2 - 0
GRO
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
AUD
2 - 0
FKT
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FSM
0 - 1
AUD
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |