Virsliga Normal Season Round 12

SK Super Nova vs FK Auda analysis

SK Super Nova FK Auda
65 ELO 76
18.6% Tilt 3.7%
2327º General ELO ranking 921º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
28.5%
SK Super Nova
26.1%
Draw
45.4%
FK Auda

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
SK Super Nova
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
45.4%
Win probability
FK Auda
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SK Super Nova
-1%
-14%
FK Auda

Points and table prediction

SK Super Nova
Their league position
FK Auda
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
37
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Riga FC
67
84
67%
FK RFS
61
79
67%
FK Liepāja
44
61
87.5%
FK Auda
37
52
58.5%
BFC Daugavpils
34
49
57.5%
FS Jelgava
28
37
31.5%
FK Tukums 2000
24
36
20%
SK Super Nova
23
35
19%
FK Metta
21
32
26%
Grobiņa
10º
20
31
10º
38%
Expected probabilities
SK Super Nova
FK Auda
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 10.5%
Mid-table
67.5% 89.5%
Relegation play-offs
21.5% 0%
Relegation
11% 0%

ELO progression

SK Super Nova
FK Auda
FK Liepāja
Riga FC
FK RFS
Grobiņa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SK Super Nova
SK Super Nova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 2025
FSM
FK Metta
0 - 2
SK Super Nova
SUP
47%
25%
29%
64 65 1 0
01 May. 2025
SUP
SK Super Nova
1 - 5
Riga FC
CAR
23%
24%
54%
64 77 13 0
25 Apr. 2025
LIE
FK Liepāja
2 - 2
SK Super Nova
SUP
62%
22%
16%
64 74 10 0
20 Apr. 2025
SUP
SK Super Nova
1 - 2
FK RFS
RIG
23%
24%
54%
64 77 13 0
15 Apr. 2025
BFC
BFC Daugavpils
1 - 1
SK Super Nova
SUP
51%
24%
25%
64 67 3 0

Matches

FK Auda
FK Auda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 May. 2025
AUD
FK Auda
1 - 3
Riga FC
CAR
36%
26%
38%
77 77 0 0
01 May. 2025
RIG
FK RFS
1 - 0
FK Auda
AUD
49%
25%
26%
77 77 0 0
24 Apr. 2025
AUD
FK Auda
2 - 0
Grobiņa
GRO
64%
22%
14%
77 61 16 0
18 Apr. 2025
AUD
FK Auda
2 - 0
FK Tukums 2000
FKT
61%
22%
16%
77 63 14 0
13 Apr. 2025
FSM
FK Metta
0 - 1
FK Auda
AUD
27%
26%
47%
77 66 11 0