Sunrise vs Mukura Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunrise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
APR
1 - 0
SUN
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
SUN
0 - 0
MUS
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BUG
0 - 2
SUN
42%
27%
32%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
EDE
2 - 2
SUN
34%
24%
43%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SUN
2 - 1
POL
41%
26%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Mukura Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MUK
0 - 1
MUS
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
MUK
2 - 0
POL
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
EDE
0 - 2
MUK
37%
24%
39%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
MUK
44%
27%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
MUK
3 - 2
AMA
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |