Sunray Cave Reserve vs Citizen AA Reserve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
23.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunray Cave Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
SCH
0 - 2
SCR
37%
24%
39%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
SCR
1 - 3
RRE
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
TMR
1 - 5
SCR
25%
23%
52%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
SCR
4 - 2
YLO
71%
17%
13%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
SCR
1 - 2
HVR
64%
19%
16%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Citizen AA Reserve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
PEG
59%
22%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 1
DRE
28%
23%
49%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 6
RRE
27%
24%
50%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 0
KIT
79%
13%
8%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
TMR
2 - 2
CAR
29%
22%
49%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +2 |