Sunny Point vs Tahitie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
32.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
3º
1º
28
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
38 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 32 |
2º
|
64% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 31 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 28 |
4º
|
57% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 25 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 23 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 22 |
8º
|
63.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 16 |
9º
|
98.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 9 |
10º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 64% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 36% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunny Point
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SUN
2 - 2
MOE
81%
12%
7%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SUN
1 - 1
FLO
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
SUN
1 - 1
SEA
42%
22%
36%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
TAH
1 - 1
SUN
50%
21%
29%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
SUN
3 - 0
FLA
75%
14%
11%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tahitie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
TAH
1 - 2
FLO
66%
18%
17%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
SEA
1 - 3
TAH
59%
19%
22%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
TAH
3 - 2
FLA
76%
14%
10%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
TAH
1 - 1
SUN
50%
21%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
GRO
1 - 2
TAH
32%
21%
47%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |