Sunderland vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
12.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
CHL
4 - 0
SUN
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
SUN
2 - 1
BIR
64%
22%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
STO
0 - 1
SUN
17%
25%
58%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
SUN
0 - 0
SHE
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1999 |
BAR
1 - 3
SUN
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
WAT
2 - 3
WIM
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
WAT
1 - 0
GRI
58%
24%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
BAR
2 - 2
WAT
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1999 |
POR
1 - 2
WAT
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
WAT
2 - 1
CRY
50%
27%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |