Sunderland vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
ASV
0 - 1
SUN
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
SUN
3 - 0
BBU
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2010 |
SUN
0 - 2
BPO
57%
24%
20%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2010 |
MUD
2 - 0
SUN
83%
12%
5%
|
84 | 95 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
SUN
1 - 0
BOL
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
NOT
3 - 0
HAR
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
WAL
0 - 3
NOT
30%
26%
44%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2010 |
PLY
1 - 1
NOT
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
NOT
3 - 1
BOU
42%
25%
32%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
NOT
2 - 0
MKD
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |