Sunderland vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
11.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1924 |
BUR
1 - 2
SUN
47%
23%
29%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1924 |
BOL
1 - 2
SUN
50%
23%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1924 |
SUN
4 - 1
TOT
65%
20%
16%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1924 |
WBA
2 - 1
SUN
44%
24%
32%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1924 |
SUN
4 - 0
BIR
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1924 |
NOT
3 - 1
EVE
34%
30%
36%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1924 |
NOT
0 - 0
NTT
51%
26%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1924 |
BIR
1 - 0
NOT
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1924 |
BOL
1 - 0
NOT
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1924 |
LEE
1 - 1
NOT
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |