Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
18.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
GIL
0 - 4
SUN
31%
27%
43%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2004 |
REA
1 - 0
SUN
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
SUN
1 - 1
WIG
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
SUN
3 - 0
CHE
63%
22%
14%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
PLY
2 - 1
SUN
38%
27%
36%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
NTT
0 - 0
CAR
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
PLY
3 - 2
NTT
51%
25%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
NTT
1 - 4
COV
52%
24%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
NTT
2 - 0
SCU
66%
19%
14%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
LEE
1 - 1
NTT
71%
19%
11%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |