Sunderland vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1971 |
SUN
2 - 1
FUL
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1971 |
QPR
2 - 1
SUN
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1971 |
SUN
1 - 1
BRI
60%
24%
17%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1971 |
CAR
1 - 2
SUN
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1971 |
SUN
0 - 0
BPO
56%
25%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1971 |
PNE
4 - 0
MIL
39%
28%
33%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1971 |
MIL
1 - 1
BUR
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1971 |
HUL
0 - 0
MIL
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1971 |
MIL
3 - 0
BIR
58%
23%
20%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1971 |
SWI
0 - 2
MIL
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |