Sunderland vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
20.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1953 |
WBA
1 - 1
SUN
45%
23%
32%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1953 |
OPA
5 - 2
SUN
54%
21%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1953 |
SUN
2 - 2
MUD
41%
23%
36%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1953 |
CHL
3 - 2
SUN
37%
24%
39%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1953 |
BUR
2 - 0
SUN
43%
24%
33%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1953 |
MID
1 - 0
ASV
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1953 |
WBA
3 - 0
MID
55%
22%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1953 |
BOL
5 - 3
MID
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1953 |
MID
2 - 3
LIV
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1953 |
MAC
5 - 1
MID
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |