Sunderland vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1903 |
NTT
5 - 2
SUN
36%
27%
37%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1903 |
BOL
2 - 0
SUN
28%
27%
46%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1903 |
SUN
0 - 0
STO
57%
23%
20%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1903 |
SUN
2 - 1
NOT
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1903 |
LIV
1 - 1
SUN
44%
25%
30%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1903 |
MID
3 - 1
DER
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1903 |
MID
4 - 0
BBU
38%
24%
38%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1903 |
BCF
3 - 1
MID
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1903 |
MID
2 - 0
NTT
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1903 |
MID
2 - 0
GRI
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |