Sunderland vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1950 |
CHA
2 - 2
SUN
42%
23%
35%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1950 |
SUN
1 - 1
OPA
49%
23%
28%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1950 |
WOL
1 - 3
SUN
61%
19%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1950 |
SUN
2 - 2
NEW
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1950 |
BPO
0 - 1
SUN
48%
23%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1950 |
ARS
1 - 3
ASV
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1950 |
ASV
0 - 1
BUR
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1950 |
ASV
2 - 0
LIV
51%
22%
27%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1950 |
MUD
7 - 0
ASV
71%
17%
13%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1950 |
ASV
1 - 0
WBA
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |