Sunderland vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
66.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
NOR
0 - 3
SUN
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SUN
0 - 2
LEI
23%
26%
52%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SUN
0 - 0
WBA
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 1
SUN
41%
26%
34%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 1
SUN
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
ARS
2 - 0
WBA
71%
19%
10%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ARS
1 - 1
CRY
66%
21%
13%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
WHU
3 - 3
ARS
26%
25%
49%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ARS
4 - 0
WAT
67%
20%
13%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
EVE
0 - 2
ARS
32%
24%
43%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | +1 |