Sunderland vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
10.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
ROC
1 - 2
SUN
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
SUN
2 - 1
OPA
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
STA
1 - 3
SUN
26%
24%
51%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
IPS
1 - 1
SUN
27%
28%
46%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
SUN
1 - 1
OXF
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
IPS
2 - 1
AFC
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
AFC
1 - 1
STA
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
AFC
2 - 2
MKD
39%
24%
37%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
FLE
2 - 1
AFC
53%
26%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
AFC
1 - 2
ROT
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |